Qellys Book

AI-powered NFL player-prop model
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Bankroll — tell the site your bankroll and unit size, and every stake suggestion is sized to YOUR money. Stored in your browser (and your account when signed in) — this site never holds a balance and never takes a deposit.
$ % / unit

One unit is the percentage above of whatever you enter — the standard is 1–2%. A Strong Play stakes more units than a Play, and the suggested-exposure tile on Home totals tonight’s recommended stakes in your units. Nothing here is a deposit; it’s arithmetic on your own number.

Track Record — every recommended pick, journaled at its real price and graded against the final result. The receipts.
The Lab — every walk-forward replay of the production model against stored history. Does it forecast better than guessing?
Edge Board — every bet priced better than the book’s number, sorted by expected value. Wider net than Recommended: smaller edges and longer odds included, honestly labeled.
Prediction Markets — two venues, two lenses. Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated order books read as PRICES: an exchange mid is the market’s probability with no vig to strip. Polymarket’s public wallets read as FLOW: who’s moving real money and how anomalous it looks. Public data, statistical flags — probabilities, never verdicts.
My Bets — the bets YOU placed at the sportsbooks, logged by hand and kept in this browser. Your own running P&L by book, separate from the model’s record. Make an account to keep it on every device — it stays on your own computer, and no sportsbook passwords are ever asked for.
Weather — tonight’s conditions at every outdoor venue, from the same feed the model prices with. Domes say so; wind that moves a total is called out.
Alerts — what changed: line moves on tonight’s board, the injury watch, and the prediction desk. Rebuilt each refresh while the site is open — nothing here pushes to your phone, and it says so rather than pretending.
Injury Report — every current designation in the league, freshest first. A status board, not a diagnosis: what the team filed, when it was filed, and the projected return where one exists.
Rocket Radar — Solana meme-coin order flow, scored as TWO numbers that are never blended: momentum (is it igniting?) and risk (can you get out?). Risk is a gate, not a discount — a coin over the line never reaches the rocket list however hard it accelerates. A filter for danger, not a crystal ball; nothing here is a bet.
UFC — Scalpy MMA — distributions of outcomes, never predictions. One event, four-ounce gloves: win probability hard-capped at 88%, method of victory modeled as a joint that must sum to 100%, and every unbet fight goes on the pass list with a reason.
Fantasy Football — volume is predictive, efficiency is noise. Usage shares and their trends, buy-low/sell-high from volume-expected points, and game scripts straight from the Vegas line.
What this is — read this first if you’ve just landed here: what the site does, what it deliberately doesn’t do, and the rules that apply to all of it.
Why us — what makes this different from every picks service, with the receipts linked and the math open for anyone to check.
Market Scanner — structural plays from cross-book price comparison: arbitrage, middles, low-hold pairs, and where the sharp money sits. No model required — just the books disagreeing with each other.
Long Shots — anytime touchdowns, priced on opportunity not hype
Futures — the rest of the season, played out twenty thousand times.
Active rosters — every team as it stands today.
Standings — counted from our own results.
Player search — pull up form, game logs and the active prop